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Chomping at the bits
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...forum at large, for 9 straight days of losing plays in basketball, lol. I mean, good God, the forum is ice cold right now! I may have been up a tiny bit until recently, but I'm definitely in the hole following others plays. Oh well, that's what happens when you jump on some hot posters and they inevitably cool off. No disrespect to anyone, just blowing off a little steam, lol.
 

Oh boy!
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Whenever I hit a cold streak (like the one I'm on now with my own picks) I try to remember all the money I've won. It seems to me that you are a decent capper who has won a lot of money in the past. I hope you are still ahead.
 

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It's not possible to make money following the "sharps." I've lost like 20% of my bankroll following these sharps.
 

Chomping at the bits
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quantumleap said:
Whenever I hit a cold streak (like the one I'm on now with my own picks) I try to remember all the money I've won. It seems to me that you are a decent capper who has won a lot of money in the past. I hope you are still ahead.

What I'm down following others the last couple of weeks is maybe 1/6th of what I've won this football season, so it's not a huge blow, especially considering I've more than made up for it playing poker during the same 2 weeks, lol. Yes, I'm a good NFL capper (good money all 4 years I've posted here at the RX), but the temptation to make money year round following others at the other sports is one we all face. It's tough, because it seems once you start to tail people hitting a good %, they cool off and do no better than 50% for a while. There are a couple of guys I'm still + money on, SpreadBeater and Captain Carl, but the profit margin at this point has probably not been worth it.

My NFL excel program is very complex, and took me a long time to develop, though the profits have been well worth it. I started a new program on the NBA before the 10 day Christmas vacation, but haven't picked it up since then. Eventually I do want to make spreadsheet models for all sports, then I can at least live and die by my own picks. An old friend of mine (we'd had a big falling out 7 years ago, but recently mended ways this past fall) is a genius programmer. He's been very successful with his own business. At dinner last saturday night I find out he's making a spreadsheet/web application program that will be perfectly suited for what I'd envisioned using as a handicapper. Using boxscores and whatever data you want, you can easily build handicapping models, and all the charts, graphs, lists etc. are automatically incorporated to a web site, where the author can control the permissions to different things. I was already planning on starting a website for next football season, one that uses visual charts and graphs for handicapping information (as opposed to the pure numbers systems of StatShark, where it is difficult to digest a page full of numbers without giving it a thorough reading), for easier and faster handicapping. I was maybe going to charge a very small amount for the handicapping tools and information, and throw in my picks for free (not a bad deal considering my track record). Well, my buddy's system will allow me to do all this, with this huge added benefit for customers -- they can access the same boxscores and design their own handicapping models when accessing my website, and save their models independantly for future use. It will really be the ultimate handicapping tool if it comes together as envisioned. His software will not be ready until March-Junish, so it will be a big scramble to get it ready for next fall, but we'll see what happens.
 

Oh boy!
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thecruncher said:
What I'm down following others the last couple of weeks is maybe 1/6th of what I've won this football season, so it's not a huge blow, especially considering I've more than made up for it playing poker during the same 2 weeks, lol. Yes, I'm a good NFL capper (good money all 4 years I've posted here at the RX), but the temptation to make money year round following others at the other sports is one we all face. It's tough, because it seems once you start to tail people hitting a good %, they cool off and do no better than 50% for a while. There are a couple of guys I'm still + money on, SpreadBeater and Captain Carl, but the profit margin at this point has probably not been worth it.

My NFL excel program is very complex, and took me a long time to develop, though the profits have been well worth it. I started a new program on the NBA before the 10 day Christmas vacation, but haven't picked it up since then. Eventually I do want to make spreadsheet models for all sports, then I can at least live and die by my own picks. An old friend of mine (we'd had a big falling out 7 years ago, but recently mended ways this past fall) is a genius programmer. He's been very successful with his own business. At dinner last saturday night I find out he's making a spreadsheet/web application program that will be perfectly suited for what I'd envisioned using as a handicapper. Using boxscores and whatever data you want, you can easily build handicapping models, and all the charts, graphs, lists etc. are automatically incorporated to a web site, where the author can control the permissions to different things. I was already planning on starting a website for next football season, one that uses visual charts and graphs for handicapping information (as opposed to the pure numbers systems of StatShark, where it is difficult to digest a page full of numbers without giving it a thorough reading), for easier and faster handicapping. I was maybe going to charge a very small amount for the handicapping tools and information, and throw in my picks for free (not a bad deal considering my track record). Well, my buddy's system will allow me to do all this, with this huge added benefit for customers -- they can access the same boxscores and design their own handicapping models when accessing my website, and save their models independantly for future use. It will really be the ultimate handicapping tool if it comes together as envisioned. His software will not be ready until March-Junish, so it will be a big scramble to get it ready for next fall, but we'll see what happens.

Good luck with your program. It sounds promising. I look forward to seeing your picks this fall.

As far as following cappers, I know what you mean. It seems as soon as you follow someone they get cold.
 

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80% of my bets are my own but I will look around and add a cappers pick here or there.

I have tried following people and I am the kiss of death to them...I have played a very well respected cappers bets this NBA season and I'm 0-7 with him...I know plenty around here do well following others, I for some reason have yet to capitalize on it with any consistency.
 

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